← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Bastia win | 32% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mikkel Desler · Toulouse FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 87' | 🟥 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 87' | 🟥 | Mikkel Desler · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 113.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1508.64 | 1614.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.18 | -8.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.76 | 24.40 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |