← Ligue 2 2021 · Wed, Jan 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 |
| Nancy win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Toulouse FC −1.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟥 | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
| 30' | ⚽ | Denis Genreau · Toulouse FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Denis Genreau · Toulouse FC |
| 55' | ⚽ | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 61' | 🟨 | William Bianda · Nancy |
| 66' | 🟨 | Antonin Bobichon · Nancy |
| 78' | 🟨 | Rasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse FC |
| 88' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 232.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1607.64 | 1396.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.30 | -30.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 24.39 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |