← Ligue 2 2021 · Wed, Jan 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.70 |
| Ajaccio win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Amiens win | 32% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Amiens +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.39 |
| Over | 30% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 42' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mateo Pavlović · Amiens |
| 66' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · Amiens |
| 66' | 🟨 | Bongani Zungu · Amiens |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yanis Cimignani · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 232.00 | 567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1469.05 | 1527.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.90 | 31.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 69.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| league points | 21.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 28.93 | 28.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 29.01 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |