← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Gautier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Nancy win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Nancy +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 31' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
| 49' | 🟨 | Sieben Dewaele · Nancy |
| 85' | ⚽ | Idriss Saadi · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 14.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1384.27 | 1520.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.02 | 14.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| league points | 12.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 24.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 23.42 | 28.24 |
| state index | -1.11 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |