← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.22 |
| Pau FC win | 14% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Pau FC −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 54' | ⚽ | Jovan Nišić · Pau FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Erwin Koffi · Pau FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 228.00 | 563.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1613.21 | 1454.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.96 | -31.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| league points | 38.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 24.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 26.29 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |