← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Grenoble win | 20% | 5.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Grenoble −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maxime Barthelmé · Guingamp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Abiezer Jeno · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.36 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 259.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1464.72 | 1463.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.65 | -56.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 26.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |