← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Guingamp win | 34% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Guingamp +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 26' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Guingamp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 73' | 🟥 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 952.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1399.59 | 1464.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.81 | -25.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 21.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 17.93 | 17.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |