← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jan 8, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Nimes win | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Nimes −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Niclas Eliasson · Nimes |
| 17' | 🟨 | Theo Sainte Luce · Nimes |
| 30' | ⚽ | Julien Ponceau · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Theo Sainte Luce · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟥 | Theo Sainte Luce · Nimes |
| 54' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Dijon |
| 57' | ⚽ | Romain Philippoteaux · Dijon |
| 60' | 🟨 | Matteo Ahlinvi · Dijon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa · Dijon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Per Kristian Bråtveit · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 160.00 | 341.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1454.77 | 1505.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.14 | -1.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 23.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 17.93 | 17.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 25.76 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |