β Ligue 2 2021 Β· Tue, Dec 21, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Bastia win | 28% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia β0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Rodez β0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | π¨ | Christophe Vincent Β· Bastia |
| 50' | π¨ | Adilson Malanda Β· Rodez |
| 54' | π¨ | Stephen Quemper Β· Bastia |
| 71' | π¨ | Lucas Buades Β· Rodez |
| 74' | π¨ | Kylian Kaiboue Β· Bastia |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 2365.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1496.76 | 1497.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.04 | 9.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 28.00 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |