← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Dec 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 55% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Dunkerque win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Guingamp −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mario Jason Kikonda · Dunkerque |
| 49' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 52' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Dunkerque |
| 55' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 61' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Nicolas Bruneel · Dunkerque |
| 70' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 234.00 | 599.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1458.24 | 1396.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.74 | -29.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 10.07 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 6.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 27.85 |
| state index | -0.39 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |