← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Dec 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Rodez win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −1 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Toulouse FC −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
| 40' | 🟨 | Julien Celestine · Rodez |
| 51' | 🟨 | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Rasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse FC |
| 84' | ⚽ (og) | Bafodé Diakité · Rodez |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 195.00 | 2357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1608.74 | 1492.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.97 | 44.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 34.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.52 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 25.85 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |