← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Sambou Yatabare · Valenciennes |
| 5' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
| 18' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 20' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Laura · Paris FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 26' | 🟨 | Mahamé Siby · Paris FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 65' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 80' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 924.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1408.37 | 1551.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.79 | 33.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 26.17 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |