← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Guingamp win | 31% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Guingamp +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 28' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 32' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 65' | 🟨 | Johann Lepenant · Caen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟥 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 80' | 🟥 | Logan Ndenbe · Guingamp |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 193.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1408.33 | 1473.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.27 | 3.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 26.55 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |