← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Dec 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Bastia win | 25% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 185.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1544.43 | 1506.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.96 | 10.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 13.08 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 28.04 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |