← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Dec 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Valenciennes win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ismael Doukouré · Valenciennes |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué · Ajaccio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 1 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 520.00 | 916.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1513.04 | 1403.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.29 | -21.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 13.08 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 25.74 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |