← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Jovan Nišić · Pau FC |
| 36' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Gomis · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 58' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 83' | ⚽ | Zakaria Naidji · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 21 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 507.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1473.63 | 1478.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.62 | 5.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 14.17 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |