← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julien Le Cardinal · Bastia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 60' | ⚽ | Sébastien Salles-Lamonge · Bastia |
| 63' | ⚽ | Idriss Saadi · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charles Abi · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Dominique Guidi · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 189.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1490.22 | 1485.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.66 | -15.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 27.93 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |