← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Arnaud Lusamba · Amiens |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mateo Pavlović · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aloys Fouda · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 158.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1444.15 | 1408.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.62 | -0.88 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 27.24 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |