← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Léonard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 50% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Amiens win | 21% | 4.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Amiens |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mateo Pavlović · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 29.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1488.24 | 1441.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.43 | 9.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 25.78 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |