← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 34% | 3.10 |
| Pau FC win | 30% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Pau FC +0 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Pau FC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 55' | ⚽ | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mathieu Coutadeur · Ajaccio |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 81' | 🟨 | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 486.00 | 486.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1475.56 | 1505.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.73 | -10.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 18.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 28.31 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |