← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Grenoble win | 22% | 4.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Grenoble −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Souleymane Cissé · Grenoble |
| 32' | 🟨 | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 44' | ⚽ | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 84' | 🟨 | Achille Anani · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 151.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1417.65 | 1504.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.08 | 10.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |