← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.23 |
| Guingamp win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Guingamp −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 25' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 58' | ⚽ | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mikkel Desler · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 151.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1626.71 | 1484.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.69 | 12.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| league points | 28.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.82 | 25.40 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |