← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Oct 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Bastia win | 23% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Birama Touré · AJ Auxerre |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Charbonnier · AJ Auxerre |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alexandre Coeff · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 847.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1544.20 | 1495.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.85 | -21.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 9.24 | 9.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 28.24 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |