← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Nancy win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 16' | 🟨 | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
| 58' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 479.00 | 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1496.02 | 1433.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.61 | 1.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 24.20 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |