← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Nimes win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Nimes +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 66' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 69' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Nimes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Moussa Koné · Nimes |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Moussa Koné · Nimes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 81' | 🟨 | Elías Már Ómarsson · Nimes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Theo Sainte Luce · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 175.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1470.29 | 1523.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.23 | -49.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 24.79 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |