← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Oct 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Ajaccio win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Nimes −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 31' | 🟨 | Yanis Cimignani · Ajaccio |
| 33' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Zinedine Ferhat · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kelyan Guessoum · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 259.00 | 474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1543.47 | 1475.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.44 | -29.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 16.24 | 16.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.17 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |