← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 3' | ⚽ (pen) | Kevin Rocheteau · Dunkerque |
| 7' | 🟨 | Emeric Dudouit · Dunkerque |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sambou Yatabare · Valenciennes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Désiré Ségbé Azankpo · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mario Jason Kikonda · Dunkerque |
| 47' | ⚽ | Kevin Rocheteau · Dunkerque |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 78' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 868.00 | 533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1425.83 | 1409.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.05 | 12.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |