← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Guingamp win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Nancy −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Louis Carnot · Guingamp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charles Abi · Guingamp |
| 49' | 🟨 | Maxime Barthelmé · Guingamp |
| 51' | 🟨 | Louis Carnot · Guingamp |
| 59' | ⚽ | Vinni Triboulet · Nancy |
| 63' | 🟨 | Tristan Muyumba · Guingamp |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sieben Dewaele · Nancy |
| 75' | 🟥 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 87' | ⚽ | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 45.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 4.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1423.84 | 1480.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.50 | -21.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| league points | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.45 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |