← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Ben El Hadj
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Le Havre AC win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Le Havre AC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Mehdi Chahiri · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Khalid Boutaïb · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Le Havre AC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yahia Fofana · Le Havre AC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 137.00 | 838.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1414.00 | 1530.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.19 | 34.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.91 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.19 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |