← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Pau FC win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pau FC +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Mamadou Diallo · Grenoble |
| 41' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alexandre Olliero · Pau FC |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Yoric Ravet · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 123.00 | 458.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1506.04 | 1484.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.41 | -0.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |