← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Oct 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (og) | Ali Abdi · Valenciennes |
| 29' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mehdi Chahiri · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 123.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1426.05 | 1413.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.64 | 6.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.07 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |