← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Sep 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Caen win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Toulouse FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Franklin Wadja · Caen |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 17' | ⚽ | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 30' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Bafodé Diakité · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 118.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1633.84 | 1409.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.16 | -21.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.78 |
| league points | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.03 | 6.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 2.56 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.40 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 26.29 |
| state index | 1.01 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |