← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Sep 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 55% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Dunkerque win | 17% | 5.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Pau FC −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.64 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Bilal Brahimi · Dunkerque |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 31' | 🟥 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jeremy Vachoux · Dunkerque |
| 40' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kevin Rocheteau · Dunkerque |
| 53' | 🟨 | Erwin Koffi · Pau FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Dunkerque |
| 67' | ⚽ | Samuel Essende · Pau FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 72' | 🟥 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 450.00 | 511.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1499.05 | 1377.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.32 | -26.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.27 | -1.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |