← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Sep 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Bastia |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 16' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 43' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Valenciennes |
| 66' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 843.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1389.14 | 1512.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.92 | -16.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.27 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |