← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Sep 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Dijon win | 28% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Caen −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Wilitty Younoussa · Dijon |
| 23' | 🟨 | Bruno Ecuele Manga · Dijon |
| 29' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dijon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 75' | 🟥 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Dijon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 112.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1420.74 | 1430.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.06 | -13.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.80 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 28.42 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |