← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 |
| Caen win | 24% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Franklin Wadja · Caen |
| 79' | 🟨 | Yohan Bocognano · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 17.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1516.99 | 1416.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.66 | -15.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 41.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |