← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Nancy win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Nancy +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
| 37' | 🟨 | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pierre Gibaud · Le Havre AC |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrew Jung · Nancy |
| 56' | ⚽ | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Neil El Aynaoui · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟥 | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoullah Ba · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 17.00 | 810.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1432.08 | 1496.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.07 | 0.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| league points | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 22.39 | 26.37 |
| state index | -1.18 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |