← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Sep 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Wattellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 |
| Paris FC win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Maxime Bernauer · Paris FC |
| 89' | ⚽ | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Gaëtan Laura · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 440.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1495.31 | 1567.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.84 | 7.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |