← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Sep 11, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Dijon win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Dijon +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Lucas Deaux · Dijon |
| 33' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Julien Le Cardinal · Bastia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Daniel Congré · Dijon |
| 58' | ⚽ | Yassine Benzia · Dijon |
| 62' | 🟨 | Kevin Schur · Bastia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Cheik Traoré · Dijon |
| 87' | ⚽ | Yassine Benzia · Dijon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 41.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1407.31 | 1528.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.15 | -7.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 0.14 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 28.04 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |