← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 63% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.37 |
| Valenciennes win | 15% | 6.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Valenciennes −1 | 50% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Brecht Dejaegere · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 88.00 | 819.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1614.79 | 1411.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.42 | -20.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| league points | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 26.73 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |