← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Caen win | 23% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Nimes −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Naomichi Ueda · Nimes |
| 10' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 28' | 🟨 | Rémy Riou · Caen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Pablo Martínez · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 208.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1589.69 | 1420.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.43 | 15.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 45.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |