← Ligue 2 2021 · Wed, Aug 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Caen win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Caen −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué · Ajaccio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Johann Lepenant · Caen |
| 75' | ⚽ | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟥 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Gedeon Kalulu · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 420.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1474.18 | 1431.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.94 | 41.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 46.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 26.53 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |