← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Nancy −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid El Kaoutari · Nancy |
| 11' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 31' | 🟨 | Aly Abeid · Valenciennes |
| 48' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 68' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 68' | 🟥 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 74' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 27 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 775.00 | 805.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1469.82 | 1417.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.98 | -39.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.96 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.81 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |