β Ligue 2 2021 Β· Sat, Aug 14, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Amiens win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp β0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Amiens β0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | π¨ | Mathis Lachuer Β· Amiens |
| 36' | π¨ | Mathis Riou Β· Guingamp |
| 41' | π¨ | Frantzdy Pierrot Β· Guingamp |
| 41' | β½ | Jayson Papeau Β· Amiens |
| 55' | π¨ | Emmanuel Lomotey Β· Amiens |
| 56' | π¨ | Baptiste Roux Β· Guingamp |
| 71' | β½ | Jack Lahne Β· Amiens |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 16 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 105.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1496.40 | 1416.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.30 | -59.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.58 |
| league points | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 24.49 |
| state index | 0.25 | -1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |