← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Le Havre AC win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Le Havre AC +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Marvin Gakpa · Paris FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Check Oumar Diakité · Paris FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 63' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Laura · Paris FC |
| 81' | 🟥 | Umut Meraş · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 768.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1495.44 | 1559.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 61.42 | 22.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 25.83 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |