← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Nimes +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 32' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Elías Már Ómarsson · Nimes |
| 56' | ⚽ | Elías Már Ómarsson · Nimes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sambou Yatabare · Valenciennes |
| 81' | ⚽ | Yassine Benrahou · Nimes |
| 83' | ⚽ | Niclas Eliasson · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 798.00 | 187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1431.53 | 1570.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.43 | 15.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 24.66 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |