← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Aug 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Grenoble +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 65' | 🟨 | Manuel De Iriondo · Grenoble |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yohan Bilingi · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yohan Bilingi · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟥 | Yohan Bilingi · Guingamp |
| 78' | 🟨 | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 79' | 🟨 | Loris Néry · Grenoble |
| 79' | 🟨 | Matthias Phaeton · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Jean Laville |
| coach days | 67.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1495.25 | 1494.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.96 | 39.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.87 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |