← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jul 31, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Niort win | 30% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Caen +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Franklin Wadja · Caen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Darlin Yongwa · Niort |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 48' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Darlin Yongwa · Niort |
| 64' | 🟥 | Darlin Yongwa · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard |
| coach days | 425.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1365.49 | 1422.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.60 | 21.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.82 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |