← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jul 31, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Valenciennes win | 18% | 5.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Guingamp −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 10' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 24' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 60' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Tristan Muyumba · Guingamp |
| 76' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Philipe Sampaio · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Philipe Sampaio · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 91.00 | 791.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1498.25 | 1427.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.17 | -13.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |