← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Jul 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Nancy +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 34' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 40' | 🟥 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mamadou Thiam · Nancy |
| 87' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gregoire Lefebvre · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 388.00 | 754.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1473.32 | 1492.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.22 | -13.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |